"Chiang Mai and Khon Kaen as Growth Poles: Regional Industrial Development in Thailand and its Implications for Urban Sustainability"

 

Jim Glassman

Chris Sneddon

Department of Geography and MacArthur Program

University of Minnesota

 

 

Introduction

Primate cities in the Third World are by now almost reflexively associated with the image of enormous environmental problems. Symptomatic of this association, the question of whether or not recent patterns of Third World urban growth are sustainable has attracted much scholarly attention in recent years (Nijkamp, 1990; Hahn and Simonis, 1991; Lowe, 1991; MacNeill et. al., 1991; Blowers, 1992; Olpadwala and Goldsmith, 1992; Yanarella and Levine, 1992; Söderström, 1993; Atkinson, 1994; Gilbert, 1994; Drakakis-Smith, 1995, 1996, 1997). While no definitive conclusions emerge from this literature, there is clearly a broad consensus that environmental problems are one of the most pressing issues connected with urban growth and will continue to be so into the future.

The question of whether a given pattern of urban growth is sustainable is, however, a vexed one--perhaps most fundamentally because there is no solid agreement on precisely how to define the notion of sustainability (Sneddon, 1997). In this paper, we will not rectify this problem, but we will of necessity work with a very basic conception of sustainability as a backdrop to our analysis. Following David Drakakis-Smith, we define sustainability in an urban context as a development pattern which (1) satisfies the requirement for equity, social justice, and human rights, (2) meets basic human needs, (3) allows social and ethnic self-determination, (4) promotes environmental awareness and integrity, and (5) promotes awareness of inter-linkages between various living beings across both space and time (Drakakis-Smith, 1995: 664). We identify sustainability in these terms in order to emphasize that sustainable outcomes necessarily require fulfilling social and biophysical demands simultaneously.

Our purpose, here, however, is not to defend a particular notion of sustainability but to analyze how one particular approach to the problem of sustainable Third World urbanization--namely, the push to decentralize industrial growth and to develop secondary urban centers in order to alleviate congestion and pollution in primate cities--has been deployed in the context of urban primacy and uneven development in Thailand. The Thai case is interesting to examine for a wide variety of reasons, including the fact that the country's economy has, until very recently, been one of the World Bank's star performers (World Bank, 1993). We emphasize that the Thai case is especially instructive because it illustrates the conundrums which attend attempts to promote greater urban sustainability through approaches which refuse to seriously discipline capital and instead rely narrowly on incentives for investors. Our suggestion is that such approaches would appear--insofar as the Thai case is representative--to fundamentally give away the game at the outset, by privileging growth and maintenance of class privilege over other socio-economic and ecological objectives.

We develop the argument by examining the specific case of Thai state policies designed to promote secondary urban centers and decentralization of manufacturing industry. Focusing on Chiang Mai and Khon Kaen--two cities which are among the major urban centers of the North and Northeast regions, respectively (Map 1)--we show that these policies have helped induce some growth in the secondary cities in question, but in doing so they have induced new problems of sustainability in the secondary cities and their surrounding rural areas without alleviating problems of sustainability in Bangkok. Our conclusion is that the kinds of policies which the Thai state and its backers have advertised as suitable for encouraging manufacturing decentralization and secondary urbanization are inappropriate to the goals of sustainability and in fact reflect the unwillingness or inability of the state to impose regulations on capital which might procure greater sustainability at the expense of capital accumulation.

In the first section of the paper, we provide a brief outline of the socio-economic and environmental problems connected with Bangkok-primacy and the kinds of policies which have been implemented in order to alleviate these. In the second section, we show how these policies have been implemented in the case of attempts to promote manufacturing development in the vicinity of Chiang Mai city. In the third section, we show how these policies have been implemented in the case of attempts to build the city of Khon Kaen into a major hub for its surrounding agrarian region in the Northeast. In the concluding section, we argue in more detail why the Thai state's policies, though helping to foment some desired urban-industrial growth in these regions, has been unsuccessful in stemming the tide of environmental deterioration in Bangkok, while it has increased environmental problems and problems of social inequity in the secondary urban centers.

 

Uneven Development in Thailand

Some authors have quipped that Thailand is less an industrializing country than Bangkok is an industrializing city (Hussey, 1993: 19). Such a view is backed to a certain extent by the statistics on Bangkok's primacy. (Tables 1 and 2.) In 1960, for example, Bangkok contained 8.1 percent of the country's inhabitants and 23.8 of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP); by 1996 it had increased its share to 11.8 percent of the population and 39 percent of GDP. Even more tellingly, Bangkok's share of national manufacturing product stood at 46 percent in 1981 and declined only slightly to 39 percent in 1996, while the share of the greater Bangkok Metropolitan Region (BMR) decreased from an overwhelming 72 percent to a still overwhelming 62 percent. Most of the limited decline in the BMR's manufacturing primacy is attributable to a decentralization of some manufacturing activity to the nearby provinces of the surrounding Central region--and if one counts the BMR as part of that region, its share of national manufacturing output remained steady at approximately 90 between 1981 and 1996. Indeed, the Central region including the BMR garnered over 70 percent of the GDP in 1996 while the Southern, Northern, and Northeastern regions, containing two-thirds of the population, garnered under 30 percent (NSO, various years).

Such a regionally skewed distribution of economic activities inevitably contributes to Thailand's high and rising national income disparities (Suganya and Somchai, 1988; Medhi, 1996; Kakwani and Medhi, 1997). It also creates enormous problems of urban pollution and congestion in Bangkok. For example, Bangkok's notoriously inadequate urban road network is hopelessly clogged by some 2 million cars (approximately 50 percent of the national total), which move at an average pace of 1 to 2 kilometers per hour during the peak of rush hour and contribute 70 percent of Bangkok's air pollution--including levels of suspended particulate matter which are frequently between 200 and 400 times the recommended levels of the World Health Organization (WHO) and carbon monoxide levels which are 50 percent higher than WHO standards (Pendakur, 1993: 56). In addition, inadequate transportation infrastructure has contributed to an enormous rise in motor vehicle fatalities, which have climbed from 3.0 per 100,000 nation-wide in 1957 to 22.8 in 1994, with Bangkok's rate rising from 14.5 to 37.2 between 1980 and 1994 alone (Ministry of Public Health, various years).

While Bangkok's roads and air are degraded by inadequately regulated automotive traffic, its water has been contaminated by unregulated dumping of pollutants by both households and industry. The lower Chao Phraya River, which runs through Bangkok, has levels of dissolved oxygen concentration, biochemical oxygen demand, and coliform bacteria which are all sub-par in relation to Department of Health standards, and there is concern that if sewage and wastewater treatment systems are not installed soon the river could become anaerobic (Anuchat and Ross, 1992: 22). Meanwhile, industries in the Bangkok area were already producing 40-60,000 tons of hazardous waste annually by the late 1980s, and disposed of effluents containing 12 tons of heavy metals every year, with the consensus being that many did so in disregard of regulations on toxic waste disposal, which are not effectively enforced (Anuchat and Ross, 1992: 23). During the economic boom at the end of the 1980s, the percentage of industries producing hazardous wastes increased from 25 percent to almost 60 percent, raising substantially the risks to human and animal health in the Bangkok area (Sirilaksana, 1995: 291).

These problems of urban primacy and pollution clearly suggest that Bangkok's development is likely to be ecologically unsustainable, a view which is reinforced by the already very significant problems posed by annual flooding, which is exacerbated by subsidence from excessive withdrawals of groundwater under areas of massive construction (Ross and Suwattana, 1995: 279-80). Yet despite these warning indicators, many of which have been evident for decades, growth has continued to cluster in the Bangkok region, and state policies have seemingly done very little to counter this.

Bangkok's primacy has very deep historical roots, and thus would not be easy to redress through any simple sets of state policies (Dixon and Parnwell, 1991). Even so, the Thai state has not only done very little to counter Bangkok's dominance but in fact has done much to abet it (Parnwell and Arghiros, 1996; Dixon, 1996; Bell, 1996; Schmidt, 1996). Perhaps most significantly, the state and its international backers have allowed and even encouraged lending policies which consolidate Bangkok's control over the rest of the country, while taking few active measures to spread credit to disadvantaged regions (Grit, 1982; Saroj, 1990; Somrudee, 1991). Nor has the state implemented any policies attempting to force relocation of firms to areas outside of the capital--as, for example, was attempted by the South Korean state (Rondinelli, 1991: 795).

The Thai state's failure to discipline financial capital in any serious fashion, combined with its more general lack of strong statist controls on industry, has meant that where it has attempted promotion of manufacturing decentralization its ability to do this is based largely on a series of policies which attract investment to given up-country locations by lowering production costs. These policies have evolved over the years out of various forms of government-private sector interaction. Three major policies developed through these interactions are particularly important: (1) the offer of regionally-based investment incentives, such as tax write-offs, by the Board of Investment (BoI); (2) the development of productive infrastructure in the provinces through both general state expenditures on transportation and communications and through the Industrial Estate Authority of Thailand's (IEAT's) development of provincial industrial estates; and (3) the maintenance by the Ministry of Labor's Wage Commission of a graded minimum wage structure which keeps provincial and non-urban wages lower than those in Bangkok or provincial urban centers.

We will briefly discuss each of these policy approaches in turn, but we begin by noting the overarching role of the National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) in promoting provincial industry through its five-year development plans. The NESDB has given lip service for many years to the importance of improving rural incomes and decreasing the disparities between Bangkok and the rest of the country. Decentralization has been argued for on the grounds that it can relieve Bangkok's congestion and pollution while reducing the income gap between the capital city and the rest of the country (Medhi et. al. 1992: 216-17; Parnwell, 1992: 53; Parnwell and Suranart, 1996: 161).1 Environmental benefits have been expected to be indirect, in that movement of manufacturing investment to the periphery will not by itself cure Bangkok's congestion and pollution problems but will, rather, slow the rates of growth in Bangkok and thus buy the state more time for implementing environmental clean-up policies. The Third National Economic and Social Development Plan (1972-1976) called for urban-industrial decentralization through encouragement of industrial relocation. The plan designated nine provincial growth poles, including Chiang Mai and Khon Kaen, which were to serve as the loci of the strategy. Implementation began under the Fourth Plan (1977-81) (Medhi et. al., 1992: 217; Parnwell, 1992: 55).

It can be argued that NESDB plans may have less effect than advertised--even on government policies, let alone on capitalist investment behavior--because the most the NESDB can do is to mandate certain priorities on the part of ministries. It is not clear that it can enforce performance standards.2 Perhaps more significantly, however, the nature of the plans the NESDB develops is heavily influenced not only by the training of its officials but by the nature of the groups with whom it confers and collaborates in developing the plans. For the most part, this has meant that planning is driven by the needs of major investment groups who can offer the NESDB something in return for its own promises of infrastructure expenditure.3 As Michael Parnwell (1992: 56) puts it, planning has been growth-first in orientation and has relied on "the same kinds of urban-industrial centered, top-down strategies which were responsible for enhancing the uneven pattern of development in the first place..."

In any event, the burden of luring manufacturing investment to the periphery with concrete measures is fundamentally shouldered by organizations responsible for the three policies noted above. The BoI's investment zone strategy is perhaps the most widely-discussed of these strategies (Ichikawa, 1990; Parnwell, 1992; Davidson and Ciambella, 1995: 243-49). The BoI divides Thailand geographically into three such zones, the first in the immediate vicinity of Bangkok, the second extending into the Central Region, and the third covering all outlying up-country regions. (Map 2.) Promoted projects, which must fall into industrial sectors selected by the BoI, are given fewer privileges for locating in Bangkok than for locating further out. By providing investors who locate up-country with the maximum privileges, the hope has been to attract more manufacturing projects to the periphery.

Whatever the designs, it is clear that throughout the years of BoI operation, promotional privileges have in fact done little to actually attract investment away from Bangkok. Indeed, projects started under BoI promotion have themselves been highly concentrated in the BMA, and only very recently have larger numbers begun to appear in outlying regions (Map 3.) It is clear that the promise of tax reductions, which is the main device available to BoI, is not adequate to compensate for Bangkok's advantages in infrastructure and other necessities. Indeed, as one of the authors found in interviews, even investors who have located up-country do not necessarily list BoI incentives as a primary factor in their location decisions, perhaps because the tax burdens on non-promoted projects are not so high as to make gaining promotional privileges a sufficient reason to forego Bangkok's agglomeration and urbanization economies.4

A further word about BoI's strategies is in order here. BoI is in many respects even more capital-friendly than the NESDB and, unlike the latter organization, has no formal contacts whatsoever with any groups besides investors and other state agencies.5 Thus, its policies are driven to a large extent by what investors want, even though it may not always be positioned to provide this. Thus, with the BoI as with the NESDB, it is not easy to discern how much the limited decentralization of its investment promotion has to do with forces outside its control, how much with its own limited mandate, and how much with its orientation towards promoting the biggest and the most powerful. Whatever the case, it is worth noting that BoI has promoted up-country investment more aggressively in the 1990s. However, this more active promotion coincides with a push by greater numbers of manufacturing industries to reduce rising production costs in Bangkok and thus can be seen in many ways as following more than leading investment.

Given the limitations on other tools for promoting decentralization, perhaps the most important state measures have had to do with the development of infrastructure. The overall effects of infrastructure development have tended to increase rather than decrease centralization, but the building of publicly-funded industrial estates and related facilities has been somewhat successful in attracting capital to regions removed from Bangkok. Industrial estates provide companies which locate there with roads, electricity, and amenities such as telephone service, garbage removal, and wastewater treatment, thus reducing production costs and the costs of compliance with environmental regulations.6 Some also have export processing zones where manufacturers may obtain more extensive tax exemptions and privileges. Finally, industrial estates allow foreign companies 100 percent ownership of land, something which is prohibited elsewhere in Thailand, while they also allow firms to bring in foreign technicians and experts without restriction and to take or remit foreign currency (Davidson and Ciambella, 1995: 262; IEAT, 1995/96: 39).

Up until the mid-1980s, all of the IEAT's industrial estates were located in the BMA or within the Central Region, fairly close to Bangkok.7 Thus, they had no effect on the development of manufacturing in the poorest and most peripheral regions. Furthermore, they have typically attracted highly capital-intensive industries with relatively low forward and backward economic linkages, so they may have had a relatively limited effect on overall economic growth even within the Central Region.8 Nonetheless, they have clearly contributed to rising manufacturing GDP growth rates in the extended BMA throughout the 1970s and 1980s (Maps 4 and 5). By the late 1980s, as will be discussed below, the first industrial estate established outside of Bangkok or the Central region--the Northern Region Industrial Estate (NRIE) in Lamphun--began to have similar effects in the North.

If the provision by the state of regional infrastructure is one of the major elements in promoting such manufacturing decentralization as has occurred, the role of the minimum wage policies cannot be ignored. The minimum wages of different areas for 1995 are shown in Map 6. While competitive wages are not by themselves decisive for attracting manufacturing investment to a particular place, they are nonetheless a necessary condition for attracting such investment.9 Thus, for example, a survey of Eastern Seaboard (ESB) manufacturers by Narathip Aramwattanano found low labor costs consistently listed by manufacturers as one of the 3 or 4 leading reasons for locating in the ESB (Narathip, 1991).10 In this regard, it is probably Thailand's general wage levels relative to other potential international production sites which is most significant, but regional differences of wages within Thailand may play some role in attracting investment to particular locations, as we will show. Of particular note, in this regard, is the fact that the minimum wage is poorly enforced--and even more poorly in up-country areas than in Bangkok. Thus, wages in up-country regions serve as some inducement to investors not only in the formal sense that minimum wages are lower but in the well-recognized informal sense that paying up-country workers less than the official minimum is easier. This reality is undergirded by the weakness of up-country unions and labor organizations, as will be discussed for the case of Chiang Mai, to which we now turn.

 

Manufacturing Development in the Chiang Mai Region

This section examines the process of state-promoted manufacturing growth in the Chiang Mai-Lamphun region as well as the environmental and human health consequence of such growth. We begin with a brief outline of the historical background to manufacturing development in the North. Against this background, we then present evidence that state policies promoting manufacturing growth in the region have been successful in fomenting manufacturing growth--including growth in manufacturing wages--but have done so without promoting sustainability, either in its ecological or social dimensions.

 

Chiang Mai prior to the growth boom

In spite of Chiang Mai's long history as an urban center and a regional trade hub--and in spite of various projects to modernize it and build it into a regional growth pole (Chakrit and Hagensick, 1973)--manufacturing in the Chiang Mai area before the 1980s remained rudimentary, overwhelmingly small-scale, and centered largely in agriculture. A 1982 survey of Chiang Mai province found that 81.1 percent of all factories, 74.3 percent of all employment, and 62.3 percent of all industrial investment was in agro-industries, which employed an average of 15 workers per factory. Agro-industries were much more likely to be spread throughout the province: 77 percent were located outside of the muang district (or municipal district), while 79 percent of non-agro-industries were located within the muang district (Wilawan, 1984: 26-27). The smaller agro-industries were not only more broadly distributed but were more likely (especially those with less than 50 workers) to procure raw materials, machinery, parts, and services from local suppliers. Smaller firms were also more likely than larger firms to sell products on the local market, while the largest firms were the most likely to sell products abroad (Wilawan, 1984: 41-59). In short, then, manufacturing development in Chiang Mai province into the early 1980s was centered around small-scale agro-industries with relatively strong forward and backward linkages to the local market, augmented by a much smaller number of non-agro-industry firms employing more capital and labor per unit but with much weaker local forward and backward linkages.

These points have important and widely-recognized implications for development planning which targets poverty and income disparity. Clearly, projects which enhance employment opportunities and growth potential in dispersed agro-industries and which build broader manufacturing projects out of this agro-industry base will have the most significant employment effects and will spread economic opportunities most equitably, both in a social and geographic sense. Larger-scale manufacturing projects which are not connected to agriculture are bound to have much less in the way of spread effects and may well contribute to greater social and geographic income disparities within the locale.11 On the other hand, agro-industries are less likely to lead to rapid economic growth. Thus, continued reliance on them as leading industries within the provinces is likely to result in continued widening of the disparities in wealth between Bangkok and the rest of the country. This point has long been recognized by Thai academics and state agencies (Gray, 1990: 46). It can also be argued that smaller-scale and more agriculturally-based industries are likely to be less environmentally damaging than heavier industries, an argument which state planners have at least partially acknowledged. Yet, on the other hand, smaller and more dispersed industries are much more difficult for the state to regulate.

In the face of these conundrums, Thai state planners have attempted a multi-faceted strategy: promotion of local agro-industry, promotion of certain higher value-added light manufacturing industries, and promotion of tourism, which has significant potential in the Chiang Mai area. The importance of the tourism industry is particularly appreciated by government planners and this has shaped the kinds of manufacturing industries they choose to promote, with lighter industries favored because they are thought to be less polluting.12 With regard to small-scale agro-industry or other small businesses, however, it appears that the state has done somewhat less in the way of promotion than what most local business leaders feel is necessary--a point also confirmed by the lending patterns mentioned earlier.13 In contrast, the state has devoted considerable effort to promoting larger-scale industry in the North--and particularly investment in non-agro-industries which can generate high rates of growth.

The center-piece of this strategy since the mid-1980s has been the Northern Region Industrial Estate (NRIE), located on 1,788 rai of land in Lamphun province, 23 kilometers south of Chiang Mai city and part of the broader Chiang Mai metropolitan area. The idea of the NRIE was first broached in the 1970s, construction was begun in April 1983, and the facility was completed in March 1985 (Tongnoi, 1983; NRIE, 1997). The estate's location, along the Chiang Mai-Lampang superhighway, is strategic in multiple ways (Manat et. al., 1992: 12; IEAT, 1995/96; NRIE, 1997). First, the general location of the NRIE, in a region cooler than Bangkok, makes it more attractive to electronics manufacturers, who can reduce necessary temperature control costs by locating in a less hot and humid area.14 Second the location in a specific area with a nearby urban center and a large labor force insures--or so the factories have hoped--an adequate labor supply.15 Third, the combination of being located near Chiang Mai city but outside of it allows companies to simultaneously take advantage of urban amenities, including skilled workers trained by local universities and technical schools, and the lower official minimum wages for non-urban areas. Fourth, the most significant specific advantage of being close to Chiang Mai city is the ease of access to Chiang Mai international airport, which can be reached by truck in about 30 minutes. For companies shipping goods out of the port in Bangkok, being located along the superhighway which connects with Bangkok (via an approximately 10-hour drive) is also advantageous.16 Fifth, the specific location within Lamphun province is close to required water supplies (ultimately connected to the Ping River) but is also an area of relatively sandy soils with low agricultural productivity. This led planners to believe that the losses to agricultural production from establishing the estate would be minimal and that local farmers would be willing to sell their land--the latter of which turned out to be true (Manat et. al., 1992: 10).

In spite of all these locational advantages, however, the NRIE did not originally attract strong investor interest. The estate planners had hoped that not only would electronics firms open operations in the estate but so would a number of more locally-oriented firms such as agribusinesses and ceramics manufacturers--the latter being courted because it was thought that the estate could help contain some of the pollution problems which they generate. However, in the early years of the estate there were few firms of any sort which opened projects. The smaller agribusiness firms could not afford land in the estate and in any event did not badly need the infrastructure and services which the estate provided. Likewise, the ceramics firms did not find the estate attractive, and electronics firms either did not know of it or had little incentive to invest in Lamphun instead of in Bangkok.17 Thus, by 1987, there had only been 10 units of land sold in the estate and as late as 1988 only 3 companies were actually operating (Gray, 1990: 47; Manat et. al., 1992: 12).

 

Economic boom in Chiang Mai-Lamphun

The economic boom of 1987-88 changed this. As land prices, wages, and other costs of production rose in Bangkok, investors began to look for alternative production sites. The issue was not so much whether or not to relocate--few firms with substantial sunk costs took this sort of option--but rather where to expand production or make new investments.18 In this context, the availability of sufficient infrastructure in Chiang Mai-Lamphun began to pay off, and by 1991 at least 86 units of land were sold (Manat et. al., 1992: 12). As of February 1997, 92 units, representing over 90 percent of all units available, had been sold, and 62 of the factories slated for these plots were in operation while another 19 were under construction (NRIE, 1997).

Of the investors in the estate, 28 had set up operations in the general industrial zone (GIZ) while 54 had set up in the export processing zone (EPZ), which has its own export clearing house to facilitate faster movement of goods through customs for firms engaging solely in export production.19 The EPZ also provides additional incentives such as exemption of import duty and value-added tax (VAT) on machinery and raw materials, exemption of export duty and VAT on all exports, and exemption of VAT on local goods used for production (IEAT, 1995/96: 38-39; NRIE, 1997). A total of 42 of the investors in both the GIZ and EPZ were receiving BoI privileges in addition to the IEAT privileges (NRIE, 1997).

The profile of the types of industries and the nationalities of investors in the NRIE reveals the ways in which Chiang Mai-Lamphun has been brought more fully into the circuits of both Bangkok-based and international capital. Of the 62 factories in operation, 16 were producing or assembling electronics components, 16 were in the agribusiness sector, 10 were involved in spare parts or machinery, 4 each were invested in jewelry and leatherware, while 3 produced clothing or wood products.20 Of the 16 electronics firms, 12 were Japanese-owned or were joint ventures involving Japanese owners, while one was a joint-venture involving Hong Kong investors, one was a joint-venture involving Swiss investors, one was a joint-venture with Singaporean investors, and one was fully owned by Koreans. Of the 10 spare parts and machinery firms, 7 involved Japanese investors, and 1 each involved Swiss and Hong Kong investors. By contrast, of the 16 agribusiness firms, 8 were fully Thai-owned (though many of these were based in Bangkok), 3 were fully-owned by Taiwanese, and Japanese investors were involved in two joint-ventures with Thai investors while fully owning one operation (NRIE, 1997). In sum, foreign investors dominated the higher-technology production and assembly sectors, while Thai investors were dominant in agribusiness.

Overall, as of 1995, the NRIE was estimated to have received 19,925 million baht worth of investment and to be employing 22,000 persons (NRIE, 1997). The electronics and machinery firms were responsible for the greatest amount of invested capital and employment--probably over 90 percent of capital and 60 percent of employment.21 Thus, the NRIE had become a significant outpost of foreign investment in higher-technology export industries with some involvement from Thai agribusiness investors who employed less capital and labor but were still bigger and more capital-intensive than most local agribusiness firms.

 

Growing manufacturing output and growing unsustainability in the North

The NRIE has been successful in helping spur manufacturing growth within Lamphun province and is part of a broader expansion of manufacturing in the Chiang Mai area which is illustrated in Table 3. In this sense, the state policies promoting manufacturing decentralization to Northern Thailand can be said to have been successful, even if they have not yet led to regions such as the North "catching up" with Bangkok economically. Yet if manufacturing decentralization policies are supposed to lead to more than just manufacturing growth outside of Bangkok--e.g., if they are supposed to lead to greater sustainability--then they have clearly not been successful in the Chiang Mai case. Indeed, rapid economic growth has increased economic inequality and environmental damage within the North, without substantially lessening national income disparities or environmental problems within Bangkok.

We will return to the issue of Bangkok in the conclusion, but here we briefly note some of the environmental and human health problems which have developed in the North as a result of the success of manufacturing decentralization and general industrial growth. First of all, decentralization of industrial growth has contributed to the creation of Bangkok-like problems in Chiang Mai and Lamphun, including more air and water pollution, traffic congestion and related fatalities, along with more pesticide run-off and other problems related to chemical-intensive agriculture (Satiean, 1992). A recent Chiang Mai-Lamphun planning study by the NESDB has documented some of these problems. The study shows that the Chiang Mai metropolitan area produced over 57,000 cubic meters of waste water per day in 1995, and estimated that this total would rise to over 70,000 cubic meters per day by 2005. Lamphun city produced 13,000 cubic meters of waste water per day in 1995 and is predicted to produce 16,000 in 2005. Neither city has treatment facilities for this water. Chiang Mai produced 231 tons of garbage per day in 1995, and is predicted to produce 281 tons per day in 2005, while Lamphun produced 52 tons per day in 1995 and will produce 65 tons per day in 2005 (NESDB, 1996: sor43-46). Disposal facilities are inadequate, particularly in Chiang Mai, where much garbage has been stored illegally--including in places such as the graveyards of nearby villages. Indeed, the garbage disposal problem has reached the point where opponents of the Chiang Mai mayor were able to use it to force her out of office during 1998 (Bangkok Post, September 29, 1998).

Meanwhile, increased numbers of factories and automobiles are producing rapidly rising burdens of air pollution--a problem exacerbated by Chiang Mai-Lamphun's location within a valley, surrounded in all directions by mountains. Growing automotive traffic and inadequate development of either transportation infrastructure or public transportation have rendered Chiang Mai's roadways badly congested and noxious. Measurements of air quality along major transportation routes have registered high levels of carbon monoxide, nitrous oxides, sulfur dioxide, suspended particulate matter, and lead (NESDB, 1996: sor47). In addition, the inadequacy of transportation facilities has taken an increasing toll on human life, with the incidence of traffic mortality shooting up from 10.3 per 100,000 in 1980 to 28.6 per 100,000 in 1995 (Ministry of Public Health, 1995).

There have also been environmental problems associated specifically with the NRIE, which we will mention in relation to health problems afflicting NRIE workers. This issue must be discussed in the context of the transformations of labor and the development of wages and working conditions with the growth of the NRIE. Since a goal of the manufacturing decentralization project has been to raise wages in up-country regions, it is fair to observe that such wage growth has clearly occurred in the North, with manufacturing wages rising from 1178 baht per month in 1983 to 2046 baht in 1996 (in constant 1988 prices)--along with the Northeast, the fastest increase in the country. However, it is also important to note that manufacturing wages in the North have been rising far less rapidly than manufacturing labor productivity--a phenomenon peculiar to the region during the 1990s (Charts 1-3). This weak wage growth relative to labor productivity growth is a major indicator of the weakness of labor organizations in the North compared to other regions. (As of 1998, there were no labor unions in Chiang Mai or Lamphun provinces.) Such weakness is not a historical accident and has in fact been in part the backside of the state's promotion of capitalist development in the North. Indeed, the state helped destroy one of the major popular organizations in the North during the 1970s, the Peasant Federation of Thailand (PFT), and thus helped create a situation today in which collective responses to problems such as those generated by rapid manufacturing growth are quite weak (Morell and Chai-anan, 1981; Turton, 1987; Bowie, 1997). In addition, the state's resources for regulating wages, work conditions, and the local environment in the North are also--by design--quite weak.

We can see this by briefly examining the organization which is responsible for regulating the workplace environment, the Ministry of Labor and Social Welfare. The Ministry's Department of Labor has inadequate personnel to monitor up-country factories. For example, there are only 8 factory inspectors in the Chiang Mai Department of Labor and the head of the Department says that a minimum of 50 would be needed to adequately cover all the establishments in the province.22 The absence of labor unions in the North interacts with such weaknesses in the Thai state regulatory apparatus, since even under the best of conditions, factory inspectors cannot hope to adequately cover establishments if there are not workers reporting or protesting conditions--and in the absence of unions, such behavior by workers is unlikely.23

Within this broad context of limited regulatory capacity, the NRIE factories have not necessarily been the worst offenders of labor rights, but their record has not been good. Beginning in 1993, a number of workers at NRIE electronics firms began to die from unexplained causes which involved headaches, inflamed stomachs, and vomiting. The exact number of workers who died is uncertain but by 1994 the total may have reached as high as 23 (Forsyth, 1994: 35; Theobald, 1995: 18).24 The causes of the deaths have not been definitively determined but both local NGOs and health officials believe that they were probably the result of sustained exposure to heavy metals such as lead. This was a particularly salient problem for young women working long hours in the electronics factories, who were suffering sustained exposures to chemicals by working overtime in order to make bonus pay (Forsyth, 1994: 36).

Local NGOs reacted to the deaths with concern, and related them to environmental problems which had developed in Lamphun since the opening of the NRIE. For example, Lamphun activists had been complaining that waste and untreated water from the NRIE was being dumped into local fields and streams, causing fish kills and other problems.25 Indeed, the Ministry of Industry's Pollution Control Department acknowledged that the NRIE's incinerator was too small for the volume of waste produced at the estate and had been designed for general waste, not industrial waste.26 When the worker deaths occurred, the environmental and worker health concerns synergized, leading to an outpouring of public anger over the effects of the NRIE on Lamphun. Simultaneously, many frightened workers left their jobs to seek work elsewhere. A Chiang Mai doctor who had investigated some of the cases of worker illness estimated that after the deaths as many as 50 percent of the workforce at the NRIE may have quit because of health concerns and the fear that they would be next to die.27

The reaction of leading institutions of the Thai state to this public outcry was defensive. For example, the head of the IEAT, Somchet Thinaphong, claimed that the deaths were caused by AIDS, a claim which could not be sustained by medical records (Forsyth, 1994: 36). Despite this defensiveness, however, the popular concern about worker deaths and waste dumping may not have gone entirely unrewarded. Both some of the factories and the Labor Department regulatory bodies claim to have taken more aggressive measures to ensure that workers wear protective gear and that tighter safety precautions are maintained. State representatives and business leaders lament that popular attention has focused on the NRIE firms when, they point out, conditions are worse and more difficult to regulate outside of the estate--a perception which is simultaneously self-serving and accurate.28 Yet even so, the fear of having a bad public image--and perhaps of having greater difficulty maintaining workforce stability--seems to have had a few salutary, if limited, effects. Indeed, some of the NGO groups themselves felt by 1997-98 that the health situation at the NRIE had improved, though they continued to be concerned about longer-term health consequences of work-place chemical exposures as well as local environmental effects of the NRIE. Moreover, struggle over health at the NRIE continues, with the local NGOs and their supporters attempting to create a health center for workers at the estate, which would disseminate information and train workers in identifying health hazards.29

Overall, however, the picture which emerges from the case of manufacturing development in Northern Thailand is of the expansion of advanced capitalist accumulation strategies to a region which is so far ill-prepared to regulate the activities or deal with the human and environmental consequences. One can summarize the problems by saying that while the state has shown the capacity to help bring industrial development and economic growth to Bangkok's periphery it has shown neither the capacity nor the will to regulate this development in ways that minimize its negative aspects.

 

Khon Kaen as Growth Pole

One of the notable omissions in discussions of regional development and growth pole strategies applied to Khon Kaen and the Northeast region of Thailand is the lack of attention given to the ecological implications of different urban and urban-focused regional planning strategies. While previous work has addressed shortcomings in the government's agricultural production strategies aimed at the Northeast (Dixon, 1977), the politically-driven nature of regional development (Somrudee, 1991), and the flaws in regional industrialization policies and practice (Walton, 1996; Parnwell and Khanamarong, 1996), there has been little examination of the links between the Thai state's efforts to promote "regional cities" in the Northeast and the ecological impacts of these efforts on the targeted urban areas and their rural hinterlands.

In the remainder of this section, we want to draw attention to this lacuna by addressing the environmental consequences of Khon Kaen's recent growth from two angles. The first looks at a specific industrial operation, Phoenix Pulp and Paper Company, its role in industrial development in Khon Kaen, and the socio-ecological impacts accruing to the factory. The second angle focuses on environmental concerns within Khon Kaen municipality related to water. In both instances, we argue that the role of the state--and its contradictory functions as development promoter and environmental manager--has been a critical contributor to what are arguably unsustainable processes.

Two caveats are in order. While we use the phrase "ecological sustainability" in this section, we continue to stress the dialectical relationship between ecological and social changes. Ecological transformations have consequences for the human societies living in and depending (directly or indirectly) on local ecosystems for livelihoods, and vice versa. The second caveat is a simple assertion that the arguments advanced in relation to these cases are tentative interpretations based on on-going research projects. A brief history of Khon Kaen as a focus of urban-regional development will help set the stage for the cases that follow.

 

The emergence of Khon Kaen as "growth pole"

Until the early 1960s, the municipality of Khon Kaen was essentially a large village. Located in Northeast Thailand30, which by income levels and other measures of social welfare is the country's poorest region, government planners identified Khon Kaen as a "regional city" as part of an overarching regional development initiative begun in the 1960s.31 Throughout this decade, the state centered development efforts (primarily road and irrigation system construction) on rural areas due to concern over subversion in the countryside, led by the Communist Party of Thailand. The emphasis was not on "long-term efforts to alleviate the poverty of the rural population," but on "short-term, piecemeal attempts to win the people's loyalty" (Somrudee , 1991: 194).32

Throughout the 1970s and subsequent decades, Khon Kaen emerged as the centerpiece of the government's growth-pole strategy in the Northeast. As outlined in official state planning documents, the city was to be promoted as a locale suitable for industrial development which would, theoretically, deflect rural-urban migration from the Northeast to Bangkok by absorbing non-farm labor. As highlighted earlier (see pp. 4-5), the Fourth Plan (1977-1981) encouraged decentralization through regional development and laid out several financial and monetary incentives for provincial industrial development (Walton, 1996: 113-114).33 The NESDB also incorporated the development of regional cities as an explicit goal in the Fourth Plan (Somrudee 1991: 95).

Yet regional development through the promotion of Khon Kaen as growth pole is also linked to state activities in the area of rural development. Despite the overwhelmingly agricultural character of the region, rural industrialization34 has long been a primary aim of development planning in the Northeast, as revealed through a series of "regional" reports from the past three decades (CDN, 1961; Louis Berger, 1972; Biwater, 1987). These reports highlight the Northeast's potential in terms of agro-processing industries and promote an export-oriented strategy of industrial development as the most likely path toward economic growth. We turn now to a representative example of this strategy in the Northeast, the Phoenix Pulp and Paper factory, and its socio-ecological impacts.

 

Rural industrialization in the Northeast: the case of Phoenix Pulp and Paper.

While industrialization in Thailand during the period of the economy's rapid growth from the 1970s to the 1990s was generally founded on the manufacturing sector, industrialization in the Northeast has followed a somewhat different path. The Northeast is the least industrialized region in the country, leading one set of authors to conclude that one's "lasting impression is of a largely unindustrialised, and certainly underindustrialised, regional economy" (Parnwell and Suranart, 1996: 166). The industrial structure of the region clarifies the degree to which industry depends on the agricultural base. Over "four-fifths of industrial enterprise in the North-East consists of rice-milling, and much of the remainder is also based on the processing of agricultural and other primary produce" (Ibid.: 167). Non-resource-dependent industries in the region have been very few. Part of this can be explained by the labor market, which is tied to agriculture. There is a pronounced seasonal demand for labor due to the agricultural character of the region. In the off-season, silk-weaving, village handicrafts and similar activities pick up the slack for some laborers. However, many migrate to Bangkok and other regions in search of non-farm and farm labor opportunities (Walton 1996: 118).

John Walton (1996) cites the Phoenix Pulp and Paper Mill as a "notable exception" in the failure of the province to attract private investment despite heavy public sector investment in infrastructure and government administration and educational services (117). However, we argue that the limited "success" of the Phoenix plant as an exemplar of the type of industrial venture state regional development policy is designed to attract is drawn into question by the deleterious socio-ecological consequences of the mill.

In the late 1970s, Phoenix Pulp and Paper Company (hereafter "Phoenix") selected a site for their plant in the province of Khon Kaen on the right bank of the Nam Phong ("River Phong") approximately 40 kilometers northwest of Khon Kaen municipality. The company chose this location on the basis of the then plentiful supply of kenaf (a grass-like plant whose fiber is useful in gunny sack and pulp production) in the immediate vicinity. Other locational factors in the company's decision to construct a plant in Khon Kaen included easy access to sufficient water (a crucial input in the production process and a medium of byproduct disposal)35, availability of cheap power, and availability of land for purchase (Phoenix, 1977: 277-285).

Upon establishment of the plant in 1982, Phoenix--a Thai, Indian and Austrian joint venture--received full BoI privileges (Walton, 1996: 117), such as reductions in business and corporate income taxes for a set period and expenditures on electricity, water supplies and other infrastructure as deductibles (Ibid.: 114). Phoenix's economic performance has been highly variable. While posting a pre-tax profit of nearly Bt1,074 million (US$42.92 million) in 1995 (Thongbai, 1996), the company faced heavy losses in 1996 and had to fight off a hostile takeover bid in 1997. In addition, the sizable financial losses of the company in the 1980s had to be offset by subsidies from the government (Thongbai, 1996: 210-211).

In 1992 at the height of the dry season (March-April), a series of devastating pollution incidents on the Nam Phong transfixed the nation. A molasses spill from a sugar factory left a nine kilometer slug of black ooze that moved slowly down the Phong to the Chi and Mun Rivers and eventually to the Mekong, leaving in its wake a trail of dead and dying fish eventually estimated at 500 metric tons.36 In late April of the same year, Phoenix was charged with polluting the river and ordered to halt production by the Provincial Governor. Officials from the Department of Industrial Works allowed the plant to reopen in June 1992 following promises from plant management they would strive to improve the quality of the treated waste water they were releasing into Huay Chote, a small swamp adjacent to the Nam Phong that served as Phoenix's main repository of treated effluent (Kunsiri 1992).

After discovery of more dead fish (an estimated 4,000 kilograms) downstream of the Phoenix plant in May 1993, Khon Kaen officials issued another closure order. After negotiations with several state agencies including the Office of Environmental Policy and Planning (OEPP), the Department of Industrial Works (DIW), and the Pollution Control Department (PCD), Phoenix agreed to a government-conceived program to "recycle" its waste water--Project Green. The idea was rather simple: divert two-thirds to three-quarters of the plant's treated effluent away from Huay Chote swamp where it would eventually reach Nam Phong and deliver it instead via a network of pipes to the approximately 300 rai (48 has) of eucalyptus fields surrounding the factory where it could be reused for irrigating the trees.37

Project Green went into effect in early 1994 and quickly engendered its own set of problems. Documents of the company show that water delivered to eucalyptus plots would be treated to meet the standards for eucalyptus plantations and would be delivered only to the fields of those farmers who signed contracts with the company.38 Soon after implementation of the project, villagers living near the plant observed dead fish in their family ponds, dying trees in rice fields, and seemingly healthy rice plants with atrophied grains or no grains at all.39 One villager who had signed on to the project observed: "At first we thought the company will allow us to control the water to be used in the plantation. But since the project began, the company has sent in more water than the eucalyptus needs" (quoted in Walakkamon, 1994).

In August and September of 1995, following several unfruitful efforts to negotiate directly with Phoenix, farmers from the villages near the Phoenix factory staged demonstrations at the Khon Kaen Provincial Hall. They demanded just compensation for the rice plants, trees and fish lost to Project Green (Walakkamon, 1995). Phoenix had agreed in principle to pay Bt2 million (US$80,000) to affected villagers, but seemed to be backpedaling, claiming there was no conclusive evidence that Project Green had caused the problems. Early in the project Phoenix's environmental manager admitted that "many problems had emerged" due to Project Green and that it was a "big headache" (Ploenpoch, 1994). However, Phoenix has stressed throughout the controversy that it was the government, specifically the Department of Industrial Works, who stipulated reuse of the treated waste water.40

Throughout this period, Phoenix employed an effective strategy of deflecting the pollution charges, first, by vehemently denying responsibility for the fish kills (Pichaya, 1993) and, second, through apologists in the Thai government. The Minister of Industry queried: "If we punish them, who will want to invest here?" (Bangkok Post, 29 May 1993). Following this latest incident, several academics from Khon Kaen University (KKU), who were concerned with the pollution levels in the Nam Phong and publicly sympathetic to the concerns of residents living near Phoenix, began pushing the idea of declaring the Nam Phong a "pollution control zone," as stipulated under the recently enacted 1992 Environmental Promotion and Protection Act. Dr. Wanchai Wattanasap, KKU's president, noted the Nam Phong's "chronic pollution problems" and, in addition to declaring it a pollution control zone, argued for the creation of a river basin conservation plan (Bangkok Post, 4 June 1993).

 

Khon Kaen's urban environment

The experiences of Khon Kaen as growth pole over the past three decades led Somrudee Nicrowattanayingyong to conclude that "no provincial town in Thailand has ever experienced the central government's urban development planning for as long a period of time as Khon Kaen" (1991: 18-19). Despite this attention, Khon Kaen has largely failed to achieve the development goals set by planners. Part of the logic of the growth pole strategy was to slow the flow of people to Bangkok and thus relieve some of the negative social and ecological impacts of large numbers of people. In fact the "town's [Khon Kaen's] experience has not mitigated, but accelerated, Northeastern rural migration to Bangkok (and to other big cities)" (Somrudee, 1991: 25).41 Furthermore, the greatest beneficiaries of Khon Kaen's growth have not been members of the rural populace who were the planners' ostensible targets, but rather urban middle class in-migrants (lecturers, bureaucrats, businesspeople) who have been able to take advantage of the service-oriented opportunities in the growing city, and, in a very real sense, Bangkok banks who directed savings from other parts of the region to Khon Kaen and were able to take advantage of the increased level of business transactions filtering through Khon Kaen (Somrudee, 1991: 249-254).

Despite the apparent failure of Khon Kaen to spur rural and industrial development in any meaningful way, its evolution into a regional city has been accompanied by most of the problems afflicting large cities throughout the Third World. The municipality itself covers 46 square kilometers with a population of 142,313 in 1996, although the actual figure may be double due to the presence of unregistered migrants. Despite being the first provincial center in Thailand to have a town plan (Sternstein, 1977: 106), the rapid growth of the city has generated several problems, particularly concerning public services such as electricity, piped water, garbage collection, and road construction and repair. However, the most serious environmental problems--both currently and in the future--revolve around water supply, waste water treatment and the community waste water drainage system. While a dilemma confronting all of Khon Kaen's residents, the environmental problems related to water affect different social groups within the city's boundary in unlike ways.

A recent survey of city residents undertaken by researchers at Khon Kaen University (Nalinee et. al., 1996), initiated as part of city-wide project to involve residents in "community environmental management", attempted to identify the most critical environmental concerns of city residents. The researchers surveyed residents from six areas, two each of suburban, center and low-income (slum) communities. Results showed that during the rainy season, the principal problem involves the town's drainage system and flooding. In the dry season, residents cite the amount of piped water as the most significant environmental issue (Nalinee et. al., 1996: 14).

The city maintains one main drainage canal which is frequently clogged with garbage from tertiary sewers associated with residences and businesses. The canal runs through the city in a broad arch from the southwest to the northeast, emptying into series of gravity-style treatment ponds. Judging from measurements taken two decades ago, the amount of dissolved oxygen in the waterway is at or near zero, and urban residents have long been aware of the dangerous levels of fecal coliform bacteria in the water from human and animal waste being delivered to the canal (Danaisak et al., 1975). Residents of low-income communities in the survey cited the utter lack of waste water ditches, problems associated with living in the topograhically lowest section of the city (e.g., collection of flood waters), and the high levels of oil from gas stations and car garages as their most pressing concerns (Somrudee, 1991: 15-17).

These low-income communities experience these water problems more intensely than other neighborhoods. Because of their legal status (they "theoretically do not exist" in the eyes of local authorities), a large majority of residents (85-92 percent) in both of the two communities surveyed receive no piped water service from the city and have difficult access or no access at all to the city drainage system. In spite of the lack of access to public services, and "(e)ven though members of low-income communities earn less..., they pay higher prices for provided utilities" (Nalinee et. al., 1996: 12). For example, most city residents pay Bt100-200 (US$4-8) per month for piped water, while those few slum residents who do receive water pay Bt330-450 (US$13.20-18) per month.

How did this situation come about? The Khon Kaen city plan was completed in 1975, but since then city authorities have shown little inclination for urban environmental planning or management. In the early 1980s, the Urban Development Office (of the Ministry of Interior) mobilized improvements in road, sanitary and water supply systems in Khon Kaen (Somrudee, 1991: 196). Plans for a modern waste water treatment plant have been on the books since the early 1970s, but a series of oxidation ponds, Bung Thung Sang, have served as waste water treatment system since the mid-1970s (Danaisak et al., 1975: 26). Ground was broken for a new plant in 1994, but a series of administrative delays and financial shortfalls have resulted in little substantial progress. Khon Kaen's waste water treatment history is a lesson in urban planning failure and the lack of investment in environmental services by the state.

 

The cases of Phoenix and Khon Kaen's urban environment demonstrate the dilemmas of socio-ecological sustainability that have so often accompanied state efforts to stimulate rapid economic development in the third world. The pollution incidents associated with Phoenix, aside from their degrading effects on local ecosystems, have ignited local social movements that fundamentally question the state's preference for industrial development and transformation of the region's socio-ecological systems. The idea of Khon Kaen as growth pole was part of this same overarching regional development strategy, and thus must share a good deal of the blame for creating the political, economic and social conditions that have contributed to the city's deteriorating urban environment. In both instances, the negative ecological impacts of economic development activities are distributed unequally with the rural and urban poor receiving the brunt of the consequences.

 

Conclusion: Decentralization Policies and Sustainability

Given the enormous amount of literature on Bangkok's sustainability problems, we need do little here to substantiate the argument that the Thai state's decentralization policies have been unsuccessful as a means for reducing either social inequality or environmental problems in Bangkok. All of the problems connected with Bangkok's primacy, which we discussed earlier, have grown dramatically worse throughout the period in which the Thai state has been promoting (with at least limited success) industrial growth in up-country areas such as Chiang Mai and Khon Kaen. At the same time, as we have shown, the decentralization policies--insofar as they have had some success--have actually added new layers of concern over urban sustainability. Decentralization of economic and manufacturing growth has not satisfied the criteria of sustainability suggested by Drakakis-Smith either in Bangkok or in Thailand's major secondary cities.

We will conclude by briefly suggesting why such an outcome should by no means be surprising. Our argument is that the policies we have discussed do not in fact have sustainability goals as their major purpose--and this is less because of whatever technical or ideological orientations might be ascribed to them than because of their class basis. This matter is one which is neglected in most discussions of what manufacturing decentralization could or should do, but one which is crucial for both the structure and outcomes of actual policies.

Consider, for example, Parnwell's arguments regarding rural industry promotion in Northeastern Thailand. After noting that the concentration of industrial activity in Bangkok has led to congestion problems and a "failure of industry-centered growth in Thailand to bring wealth and opportunity to the country's population as a whole," he jumps to the conclusion that "The stage is thus set for the government to step in and play a leading role in restructuring the space economy of Thailand" (Parnwell, 1992: 53-55). While we agree with Parnwell's assessment of the problems of Bangkok-centric growth, we would argue that this sort of wistful invocation of state policy opportunities fails to help us understand the Thai state or why it pursues (or doesn't pursue) certain policy options.

As Parnwell's own statements, cited earlier, suggest, the Thai state has pursued a very top-down development strategy (cf., Schmidt, 1996). This is not an accident, nor is it simply a function of arrogance or despotism on the part of particular state administrators. The Thai state is tightly integrated with both leading domestic and international capitalists, something which has been true of it for more than a century (Hewison, 1989; Seksan, 1989; Suehiro, 1989; Anek, 1992; Chaiyan, 1994; Doner and Ramsay, 1997). This fusion of power and purpose between capital and state has meant--especially in the context of the post-World War II Cold War in Southeast Asia--that state policies have emphasized strongly capital-friendly and growth-oriented patterns of development. This has in turn affected the nature of rural development programs and regional planning, which have always been to some extent the backside of counterinsurgency (Anan, 1984; Chairat, 1988; Turton, 1989; Hirsch, 1990). Indeed, Bangkok's relationship with regions such as the North and Northeast have been heavily marked by the project of exercising social control in order to undermine leftist political movements and bring these regions more fully within the circuits of capitalist accumulation processes centered in Bangkok and connected to the larger international political economy (London, 1985; Somrudee, 1991; Chaiyan, 1994; Thongchai, 1994).

The manufacturing decentralization policies outlined here are of a piece with the counterinsurgency policies carried out by the Thai state from the 1960s into the 1980s. Their goal is less to bring generic benefits to Thailand than to bring peripheral regions more fully into the industrial capitalist accumulation project. Such an agenda is unlikely to result in greater social equality or environmental protection without the presence of strong social movements which can impose upon capital and the state various redistributive and regulatory practices. Yet the project of the Thai state and its international backers (most notably the United States) has involved attempting to undermine such social movements--whether in the form of peasant federations, labor unions, student movements, or leftist political parties (Girling, 1981; Morell and Chai-anan, 1981; Turton, 1987; Sungsidh, 1989; Bowie, 1997). The success of the state in doing this has enabled rapid capital accumulation at the same time as it has hindered equitable distribution or effective state regulation of capital.

That this has been the character of the Thai state and the capital accumulation process in Thailand can justifiably be lamented, but such lamenting will not change the reality. Calling for the Thai state to do a better job of spatial planning--whether through more equitable agricultural policies or better-executed provincial manufacturing schemes--is to ignore the depth of this state's class commitments. Before the Thai state could effectively promote more egalitarian or environmentally sound policies it would have to be restructured through the activities of precisely the sorts of social groups which have so far been marginalized in the development process. Suggesting comprehensive plans which the state could ideally implement without first facing this class reality--as is done by any number of authors (e.g., Rondinelli, 1980, 1991; Parnwell, 1992; Nipon, 1995; Walton, 1996; Parnwell and Aghiros, 1996)--simply reinforces an illusory notion of the state as a class-neutral actor.

We suggest, then, that more important at this point than spinning more schemes for urban sustainability in Thailand is discussing the conditions under which marginalized social groups might be able to claim more power and begin the process of social, political, and economic restructuring which would be a necessary (though perhaps not sufficient) condition for greater sustainability (cf., Douglass and Zoghlin, 1994). While we make no bets about the prospects of this occurring, we note that such a task is neither irrelevant nor other-worldly since recently there has not only been increased popular struggle and labor militance in Thailand but also renewed attempts to bring together a powerful national social movement composed of peasant groups, environmentalists, and other marginalized groups. While it cannot be said at this point whether such a social movement can succeed in the project of reconstituting Thai society--or how it will be affected by the current economic crisis in Thailand--it is on the basis of such a social movement that policies for greater sustainability might have some chance of succeeding.

 

Notes

 

1 More general arguments for the virtues of decentralization and secondary urban center growth are put forward by Rondinelli, 1980, 1991. For a more skeptical view of the virtues of promoting decentralization and non-Bangkok-centric growth, see Ayal, 1992.

2 However, NESDB officials themselves maintain that these mandates are important directives to the ministries and do have significant effects. (Author interview, October 1996.)

3 Author interview, September 1996.

4 A recent study published by the World Bank notes that close to half of all corporations in Thailand declare losses for tax purposes. In 1990, corporate income taxes constituted only 14 percent of taxes collected by the government, and the tax base as a whole only equalled 20 percent of GDP, a low level by international standards (Warr and Bhanupong, 1996: 75-76).

5 Author interviews, September-November 1996.

6 Charles Greenberg (1994: 165) notes that the Bang Plee industrial estate in Samut Prakan province provided companies in the estate with 1000 telephone lines and connections to Bangkok at the same rate as local calls.

7 By 1996, there were some 25 IEAT-run estates in operation and another 17 planned. There were also some 33 private industrial estates in operation or being planned by this time. Only 3 of the operating IEAT estates were outside of the BMA or the Central Region, though many other were planned (IEAT, 1996).

8 For example, a study by Ramstetter (1994) found that foreign-owned multinationals from developing countries, and especially those receiving BoI promotion, had much higher import and export propsensities than other firms. This is the category into which most firms locating in industrial estates fall, as is illustrated below for the case of the Lamphun industrial estate.

9 This observation is owed to a personal conversation which one of the authors had with Dr. Somsak Tambunlertchai, Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, January 22, 1997.

10 Other leading factors included exemptions from business taxes and import duties on machinery and raw materials, freedom to remit profits, and the existence of an industrial deep-sea port at Rayong and a commercial deep-sea port at Chonburi.

11 This point was openly acknowledged in interviews one of the authors conducted with Ministry of Industry and NESDB planners. For example, Ministry of Industry officials involved in planning for Northern regional development acknowledged being unsatisfied with the effects of electronics manufacturing on income distribution, but noted that it was promoted because it generated higher growth rates than agro-industry. An NESDB official noted that development of Chiang Mai city as a regional light industry hub would increase disparities between the city and rural areas in the rest of the region but argued that this should be acceptable to rural residents as long as their real incomes are rising. (Interviews September-October 1996.)

12 Author interviews, July 1995 and October 1996. This point was also emphasized to one of the authors in a personal communication from Dr. Chayan Vaddhanaphuti, director of the Chiang Mai University Social Research Institute during August 1996.

13 Author interview, October 1996.

14 Author interview, October 1996.

15 Author interview, October 1996.

16 Author interviews with various NRIE factory managers, October 1996-May 1997.

17 Author interviews, October 1996 and January 1997. These points were also made to one of the authors in a conversation with Dr. Somsak Tambunlertchai, Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, on January 22, 1997. Dr. Somsak used to work with the IEAT.

18 Author interviews with various NRIE factory managers, October 1996-May 1997.

19 An additional 7 bought land in a zone slated as commercial and another 3 in a residential zone (NRIE, 1997).

20 Garment and textile factories have largely been excluded from the NRIE because the IEAT does not want to encourage competitors for the local textile manufacturers of the Chiang Mai area. Author interview, February 1997.

21 Precise figures are impossible to obtain from IEAT publications since not all individual companies list the amounts of invested capital, and the IEAT's listing of NRIE companies for 1995-1996 actually shows higher levels of invested capital in the electronics sector alone than what is registered in the NRIE's summary of all investment for 1995. Nonetheless, by extrapolating from the figures given in IEAT (1995/96), as I have done here, one can get a roughly accurate picture of the relative magnitudes.

22 Author interview, February 1997. There are officially 6,000 establishments in Chiang Mai as of 1997 but it is estimated that with various illegal and unregistered operations the actual number is more like 10,000. The staff can at most inspect 100 factories per month.

23 Author interviews, February-March 1997.

24 The deaths were reported in a number of stories in the Thai English-language press throughout 1994. See, e.g., Bangkok Post, February 24 and 27, and April 28, and May 1, 1994, and The Nation (Bangkok), February 27 and May 1, 1994.

25 Bangkok Post, May 1, 1994.

26 Bangkok Post, April 12, 1994. Interviews at the NRIE suggested that these problems still existed as of 1996-97. For example, several companies complained that their waste water was not being treated by the estate's facility and they were having to figure out how to contain or treat it themselves. Several months after hearing this, one of the authors heard there was another mysterious fish kill in local rivers near the estate. In addition, the estate was not removing solid waste from factories in timely fashion. One factory had sustained damage to the roof because the factory owner across the road had wearied of waiting for solid waste to be picked up and had burned it, and in the process some ash and condensation landed on the neighboring factory. Yet another manager of a Japanese factory openly stated to one of the authors that his firm considered weak environmental regulations to have been one of the incentives to locate production in Lamphun.

27 Author interview, May 1997.

28 Author interviews, February-March 1997.

29 Author interview, Mr. Suchat Trakulhuthip, Chiang Mai Civil Liberties Union, July 17, 1998.

30 The Northeast region covers 168,900 square kilometers with a population, as of 1993, of 20.2 million (34.6 percent of the country) (Walton, 1996: 116). Historically, Northeast Thailand has been considered culturally, and to some degree politically, separate from the rest of Thailand. In addition, it is physically differentiated from the rest of the country by its location on two plateaus that drain to the Mekong River.

31 In the Northeast Development Plan, released to coincide with the First National Economic Development Plan, the government offered its rationale for selecting Khon Kaen as the "first development center" of the Northeast region. Reasons included: Khon Kaen's fairly large population; its central location; pending completion of the Nam Phong Project, its supply of cheap electricity; its agricultural development potential (especially in terms of supplying raw materials for nascent industries); and the presence of rock salt as a basis for chemical industries (Committee for Development of the Northeast, 1961: 2-3).

32 By the end of the 1960s, the Northeast "had commanded a high priority on the planning agenda and had received unprecedented attention from international aid donors" (Phisit, 1972: 46). The Northeast Economic Development (NEED) was formalized in 1968 with a committee comprised of key ministers and cabinet members and an advisory group set up under the technical assistance program of the U.S. Government (Phisit, 1972: 52). The general aims of US involvement (through USOM, the precursor to USAID) were fairly clear: "The basic objective of the United States Operation Mission (USOM) assistance from 1965 to 1970 was to increase the resources available in northeastern Thailand, on the assumption that the provision of such resources would slow the spread of communist influence" (Somrudee, 1991: 81).

33 In reality, decentralization of the planning process in Thailand has meant "local planners being able to choose from a 'menu' of projects offered by central authorities" with little legitimate input coming from local entities (Walton, 1996: 110).

34 Parnwell and Suranart (1996) define this as "diversification of the rural economy through the introduction and promotion" of "various forms of industry" (165).

35 The plant is located on the banks of the Nam Phong ("River Phong"). The Nam Phong was site of the Nam Phong Multipurpose Project undertaken in the 1960s for hydroelectric generation, irrigation development, and flood alleviation (Ruangdej, 1987). Construction of Ubolratana Dam in 1966 effectively regulated the flow of the Nam Phong creating hydrologic conditions satisfactory for water-dependent industries such as pulp operations. The Phoenix plant is located approximately 15 kilometers downstream of the dam.

36 Interview with Dr. Wanpen Wirojkood, Engineering Faculty, Khon Kaen University, 8 July 1996.

37 Interviews with Phoenix representatives, 8 July 1996 and 5 March 1997.

38 Interviews with Phoenix representatives, 5 March 1997 and B. C., Baan Nong Bua Noi, 30 April 1997.

39 Interview with villagers of Baan Noen Udom and Baan Ubolrat, 8 July 1996.

40 Interview with S. K. Mittal, Phoenix managing director, 5 March 1997.

41 Khon Kaen serves as a kind of "testing ground" for skills, behaviors and experiences necessary for Bangkok. Because transportation links between big cities in Thailand are much better than among secondary towns and rural areas, and as a result of other factors, the growth of Khon Kaen may actually be facilitating movement to Bangkok (Somrudee, 1991: 230-232).

 

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Table 1 Major Municipal Area and Bangkok Primacy Ratio (P), 1970-1995

 

 

Municipality (Region)

   

1970

 

P

1980

 

P

1990

 

P

1995

 

P

                             

Bangkok

   

1,867,297

 

1

4,697,071

 

1

5,882,411

 

1

5,570,743

 

1

                             

Chiang Mai

   

83,729

 

22

101,594

 

46

166,883

 

35

167,945

 

33

                             

Hat Yai

   

47,953

 

39

93,519

 

50

142,592

 

41

151,248

 

37

                             

Khon Kaen

   

29,431

 

63

85,863

 

55

126,059

 

47

142,313*

 

39

                             

Nakhon Ratchasima

   

66,071

 

28

78,246

 

60

208,133

 

28

185,423

 

30

                             

Nakhon Sawan

   

46,853

 

40

93,935

 

50

103,648

 

57

109,709

 

51

                             

Nakhon Sri Thammarat

   

40,671

 

46

63,162

 

74

74,611

 

79

100,282

 

56

 

* 1996

P = population of Bangkok/population of secondary city

 

(Sources: NSO, Population and Housing Census, 1970, 1980, 1990; NSO, Statistical Reports of Changwat, 1995.)

 

Table 2 Regional Shares of National Population and GDP, 1960-1996

(As Percentages of Total for Whole Kingdom)

 

 

Region

   

1960

   

1970

   

1978

   

1987

   

1996

 
                                 
     

Pop.

GDP

 

Pop.

GDP

 

Pop.

GDP

 

Pop.

GDP

 

Pop.

GDP

                                 

Bangkok Metropolis

   

8.1

23.8

 

8.9

28.7

 

10.8

30.3

 

11.1

34.2

 

11.8

39.1

                                 

Central Region

   

23.4

29.3

 

22.0

27.7

 

19.6

30.0

 

21.5

28.5

 

22.3

31.0

                                 

Northern Region

   

21.8

15.8

 

21.8

15.3

 

21.0

14.5

 

19.6

12.8

 

18.6

9.2

                                 

Northeast Region

   

34.2

17.0

 

35.0

15.3

 

35.4

14.2

 

34.7

14.8

 

34.0

11.8

                                 

Southern Region

   

12.5

14.1

 

12.4

12.2

 

12.4

11.2

 

13.1

9.7

 

13.3

8.9

 

(Sources: NSO, Statistical Yearbook, various years; NESDB, 1996 National Accounts.)

 

Table 3 Percentage Change in Manufacturing Product, 1981-1996

 

   

1981-1996

1981-1987

1987-1996

         

Thailand

 

333.5

52.4

184.5

         

Bangkok Metropolitan Region

 

270.7

58.7

133.6

         

Bangkok Metropolis

 

259.3

55.0

131.8

         

Central Region

 

571.0

37.3

388.9

         

Northern Region

 

369.5

34.4

249.2

         

Chiang Mai

 

481.1

23.2

371.5

         

Lamphun

 

11,256.2

111.0

5,282.1

         

Northeastern Region

 

465.9

41.1

301.0

         

Khon Kaen

 

802.5

55.8

479.3

         

Southern Region

 

226.8

20.5

171.3

 

(Source: NESDB, National Accounts, various years.)